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Does RLVR actually expand what models can reason about?

Explores whether reinforcement learning from verifiable rewards teaches models genuinely new reasoning skills or simply makes existing capabilities more reliable. Pass@k analysis suggests the latter.

Synthesis note · 2026-02-22 · sourced from RLVR

The strongest empirical challenge to the "RL teaches reasoning" narrative comes from pass@k analysis. At small k (e.g., k=1), RLVR models outperform their base models — they produce correct answers more reliably on any given attempt. But as k increases, base models consistently surpass RLVR models across all benchmarks and model families. The reasoning paths that RLVR models generate are already present in the base model's sampling distribution.

This reframes what RLVR actually does. Rather than expanding the frontier of solvable problems, RLVR narrows the sampling distribution toward correct solutions that were already accessible. The model learns to find correct paths more efficiently, not to reason in fundamentally new ways. Manual inspection confirms: for most problems where RLVR models succeed, the base model can produce at least one correct chain-of-thought.

Six popular RLVR algorithms (including GRPO, PPO variants) perform similarly and all remain far from optimal in leveraging the base model's potential — they converge on similar subsets of the base model's capability space. This suggests the bottleneck is not algorithmic but structural: on-policy RL with verifiable rewards optimizes sampling, not capability.

The contrast with distillation is sharp. Distillation from a stronger teacher can transfer genuinely new reasoning patterns, expanding the student's reasoning scope beyond what the base model could sample. Since Does RL teach reasoning or just when to use it?, the RLVR finding fits: activation is not creation. But distillation is creation — it writes new patterns into the model's distribution.

The practical implication: if you need capabilities the base model doesn't have, distillation from a stronger model is the path. If the base model can already solve the problem (given enough samples), RLVR makes it reliable. These are different tools for different gaps.

Inquiring lines that read this note 120

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What design and behavioral factors drive false consciousness attribution to AI? How do pretraining biases affect reward signal effectiveness in RLVR? Does RL create genuinely new reasoning capabilities or refine existing ones? How do spurious versus genuine rewards shape model reasoning and behavior? How do capability benchmark scores systematically misrepresent true model abilities? Do reasoning benchmarks predict model performance in long-horizon workflows? Can diffusion models match autoregressive performance on language generation tasks? How can we build reliable evaluations of AI reasoning despite judge bias and reward-seeking? How does the generation-verification gap limit what we can measure about AI reasoning? How does policy entropy collapse constrain scaling of reasoning-focused RL? How does improved reasoning affect models' ability to acknowledge uncertainty? Why do token-level mechanisms matter for learning to reason? What makes step-level supervision effective for complex reasoning traces? What should agent evaluation prioritize to reveal reliable behavior? Why can't prompting alone inject genuinely new knowledge into models? What training data selection strategies maximize generalization across difficulty levels? Is reasoning capability latent in base models or created by post-training? Can self-generated feedback reliably guide model training without ground truth? Can we reliably detect when models game evaluations? What training dynamics and scale trigger emergence of reasoning capabilities? Do reasoning traces faithfully reflect actual model reasoning? How do surface patterns enable correct outputs but reduce robustness? How should designers communicate what AI systems truly are and can do?

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Original note title

rlvr does not expand reasoning capability boundaries beyond the base model — it improves sampling efficiency within existing boundaries